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Market Insight

FX Options Insights 3/10/25

The extremely low levels of FX implied volatility have led to hedging costs through options reaching long-term lows, and in some instances even multi-year lows. Although current pricing indicates a...

Institutional Insights: Credit Agricole FX Weekly 3/10/25

Looking beyond the shutdown: the bullish case for the USD in the long termThe ongoing U.S. government shutdown has introduced significant uncertainty into the economic outlook and reduced visibility...

FX Options Insights 2/10/25

FX option implied volatility is currently close to long-term lows, and the U.S. government shutdown has further exacerbated the situation by eliminating crucial upcoming data triggers. Dealers have...

Institutional Insights: UBS FX Outlook Q4

We anticipate additional USD weakness in the fourth quarter, followed by a rebound in 2026. For the remainder of this year, we expect the USD to remain weak due to persistent softness in the U.S....

FX Options Insights 1/10/25

While the foreign exchange (FX) volatility, which is crucial for the functioning and pricing of options, has been notably absent for a considerable duration, the current low levels of implied...

Institutional Insights: Deutsche Bank - Who Drives Gold Prices

In our FX Blueprint note, we maintain a constructive outlook on gold relative to short crude oil. This perspective aligns with our recent upgrade to gold forecasts for 2026. A key point in our...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs SP500 Positioning & Key Levels 30/9/25

Consolidated Recap of Goldman Sachs Positioning MetricsSummary1. CTA Corner: - CTAs are currently positioned long $172 billion in global equities, with $66 billion allocated to U.S. equities. -...

FX Options Insights: 30/9/25

In a low-volatility environment, the FX options market presents an insightful perspective on where traders anticipate possible instability. Elevated FX volatility risk premiums surrounding specific...

Institutional Insights: Deutche Bank Flows & Positioning 29/9/25

The recent commentary on equity positioning highlights a nuanced view of the market dynamics, particularly in light of the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies and economic growth...